aurora-probability-calculation

A library to get the probability of an northern light event for a specific location and a given kpIndex

Installation

  npm install aurora-probability-calculation

Example

 
 
import {predict} from "aurora-probability-calculation"
 
const gLat = 55.60; // Geomagnatic latitude Malmö, Schweden , see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Geomagnetic_lat
const kpIndex = 6; // Kp Index see  http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/planetary-k-index
 
predict(gLat,kpIndex).then((result)=>{
  console.log("Probability for the gLat " + gLat + " and kpIndex of: " + kpIndex + " is ===> ", result)
}).catch((e)=>{
  console.error(e)
});
 
//Output: Probability for the gLat 55.6 and kpIndex of: 6 is ===>  0.8988385082835078
 
 

Prediction method

I tried several solutions all based on some kind of learning algorithm for example you find in this repository implementations of the following libaries:

• Brain-js - A very simple neuronal network Branch:feature-brain-js
• convnetjs - More complex neuronal network libary Branch:feature-convnetjs
• smr - multiple regression lib Branch:feature-smr
• synaptic - good neuronal network lib Branch:feature-synaptic

Licence

• MIT